Jane SingerJane Singer • 1st1stManaging Director | Perspective that powers better decisions for apparel industry leaders | Hong Kong & New YorkManaging Director | Perspective that powers better decisions for apparel industry leaders | Hong Kong & New York4d • Edited • 4 days ago • Edited • Visible to anyone on or off LinkedIn
Paul the Octopus: The Illusion of Predictive Powers
How often are people fooled what appears to be the predictive powers of certain people, objects or even animals.
Dr. Mike Orkin, a data scientist and statistician, illustrates how we misinterpret luck as skill or predictive power.
He explains that out of many animals picking World Cup winners, it’s not surprising that one comes out ahead—and why we shouldn’t see that as anything beyond random chance.
Listen to the full podcast: 𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝗡𝗼𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗕𝗲 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗯𝘆 𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮. https://lnkd.in/gEXdqxBp
01/20/2026 – GrowNLearn with Zorina Dimitrova. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1515759956
01/16/2026 – Most People Don’t But You Do with Bart Berkey, https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/213-luck-isnt-personal-discipline-is-dr-mike-orkin/id1556134592?i=1000745434686
02/02/2025 – The Lifelong Learner’s Collective with Ella Catherine, “The Science of Luck” https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-science-of-luck-understanding-chance-with/id1526110496?i=1000687412348
01/02/2025 – Go Big! With Matt Drouin https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rpii3gM8Jpg
11/26/2024 – The Synergy Connection with Lucy Forsting https://synergyconnectionradio.com/how-does-synchronicity-happen-in-life-with-dr-michael-orkin/
11/15/2024 – The Mentor’s Radio Show and Podcast with Dan Hesse https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/400-dr-michael-orkin-joins-dan-hesse-to-explain-how/id1254623710?i=1000677975703
11/12/2024 – The Wealth Architect Podcast with Mark Yegge https://WealthArchitectPodcast.com
11/1/2024 – The Risk Management Show with Boris Agranovich https://globalriskcommunity.com/video/chance-vs-skill-truly-understanding-risks-with-dr-michael-orkin
10/15/2024 – The Armen Show with Armen Shirvanian
http://www.armenshirvanian.com/podcast/434-michael-orkin-the-science-of-luck-and-skill-in-the-story-of-chance/
10/15/2024 – How to Lend Money to Strangers with Brendan Le Grange https://www.howtolendmoneytostrangers.show/
10/1/2024 – The Modern Man with Ted Phaeton https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/strategies-for-responsible-gambling-with-dr-michael-orkin/id1419217838?i=1000674998744
9/23/2024 – Stats and Stories with John Bailer, Miami University of Ohio https://statsandstories.net/sports1/throwing-the-red-flag
9/10/2024 – The Optimal Life with Nate Haber https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dr-michael-orkin-the-odds-of-winning-the-lottery/id1326524012?i=1000669045802
8/4/2024 – The All or Nothing Podcastwith Barrett Gruber https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G14ggXHUWek
https://bit.ly/AANEp266
Google Tech Talk (not a podcast) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QUxCQvjlxg8
DrMikeOrkin 